The Reserve Bank of Australia has officially kicked off a new tightening cycle, lifting the cash rate for the first time in more than two years. After a long stretch of stability, the rate has moved from 3.60 per cent to 3.85 per cent, marking a significant moment for households, property buyers, and investors alike. While financial markets largely anticipated the increase due to persistent inflation and a tighter-than-expected labour market, many borrowers are now wondering what comes next.
Why the RBA Made the Move
Throughout late 2025, inflation proved more stubborn than the central bank had hoped. Quarterly trimmed-mean inflation rose, headline inflation landed at 3.8 per cent, and unemployment stayed lower than expected. These indicators suggested that the economy was still running hotter than ideal, with private spending and capacity pressures putting additional strain on inflation targets.
With these factors in play, the RBA board unanimously agreed that policy needed to shift. Although some of the recent inflation rise was attributed to temporary drivers, decision-makers emphasised that they would not hesitate to act again if necessary.
Impact on Everyday Borrowers
For millions of Australians, the rate hike adds fresh pressure to already tight household budgets. Higher rates mean higher monthly repayments, pushing many home owners to rethink spending, postpone upgrades, or reassess their financial priorities. Even a modest 0.25 per cent rise can create noticeable changes — around $75–$80 more per month for every $500,000 borrowed.
Many lenders expect average variable rates for owner-occupiers to climb close to 5.77 per cent, making home loans starting with a “4” increasingly rare. Borrowers with larger loan balances may feel the impact even more, especially those juggling rising living costs.
What Industry Leaders Are Saying
Industry experts agree that borrowers shouldn’t panic, but they should get proactive. Leaders across the mortgage and finance sector highlight that strategic planning is now more important than ever. Brokers are encouraging clients to assess their preparedness for higher repayments, especially those holding pre-approvals, as borrowing power may be affected immediately.
Market confidence varies among major banks — some expect this to be a one-off rise, while others predict more increases to come. Either way, the shift has sparked renewed interest in refinancing, just as seen after the 2022 rate hike cycle.
Refinancing and Restructuring Opportunities
With more pressure on borrowing capacity and household budgets, many Australians are exploring ways to stay ahead. Refinancing, securing sharper rates, consolidating debt, or simply reviewing loan structures can make a noticeable difference. Even those entering the market through government schemes are being encouraged to reassess strategies, as higher rates can shrink the amount they qualify for.
Industry analysis already shows a rise in refinancing enquiries, and that trend is expected to grow as borrowers attempt to cushion the impact of higher repayments.
In times like this, mortgage brokers play a crucial role. The latest rate hike has created uncertainty, but it also provides an opportunity for borrowers to gain clarity with the right advice. Understanding options, testing different scenarios, and reviewing loan products can ease the pressure and restore confidence.
For anyone feeling unsure about what this cash rate change means for their home loan or borrowing power, now is the perfect time to get support. Contact us today to speak with a trusted mortgage broker who can guide you through your options, explore refinancing opportunities, and help you navigate the changing market with confidence. Reaching out early can make all the difference — especially before any potential future rate changes take effect.